Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.182548 0.209581 0.240286 0.277962 0.323238 0.376269 0.443625
2025-06-22 0.137923 0.171855 0.214608 0.273330 0.353326 0.460665 0.619410
2025-06-29 0.114176 0.150997 0.201099 0.276163 0.389252 0.559354 0.847284
2025-07-06 0.096699 0.133730 0.187156 0.272847 0.412914 0.644857 1.087148
2025-07-13 0.086140 0.123770 0.180886 0.278206 0.449570 0.760273 1.426578
2025-07-20 0.078209 0.116138 0.176306 0.284494 0.488375 0.890971 1.859929
2025-07-27 0.071736 0.109640 0.172160 0.290152 0.526856 1.033687 2.400997
2025-08-03 0.066740 0.104732 0.169697 0.298019 0.571388 1.205520 3.129989
2025-08-10 0.061767 0.099147 0.165086 0.300644 0.605397 1.366377 3.951957
2025-08-17 0.057290 0.093835 0.160132 0.301484 0.635537 1.530274 4.930497
2025-08-24 0.053090 0.088515 0.154391 0.299508 0.658441 1.684876 6.033903
2025-08-31 0.049124 0.083183 0.147913 0.294709 0.673031 1.822287 7.226980
2025-09-07 0.046869 0.080881 0.147269 0.303347 0.726993 2.118411 9.651080
2025-09-14 0.043472 0.076056 0.140910 0.297494 0.739374 2.280460 11.623999
2025-09-21 0.041208 0.073217 0.138347 0.300454 0.779038 2.571344 15.078431
2025-09-28 0.038634 0.069509 0.133475 0.296724 0.797221 2.789419 18.560712
2025-10-05 0.037040 0.067635 0.132382 0.302659 0.849165 3.195726 25.105087
2025-10-12 0.035649 0.066040 0.131713 0.309637 0.907656 3.684847 34.772523
2025-10-19 0.034317 0.064442 0.130841 0.315922 0.966544 4.234293 48.618912
2025-10-26 0.033229 0.063262 0.130806 0.324666 1.038862 4.941097 71.202338
2025-11-02 0.031884 0.061403 0.128924 0.327585 1.089631 5.575682 99.818087
2025-11-09 0.030535 0.059423 0.126526 0.328519 1.133088 6.219729 139.222505
2025-11-16 0.029131 0.057207 0.123308 0.326321 1.162528 6.804426 189.576864